Kipawa Fishing Forum

General Category => General Discussion => Topic started by: knuckles on March 20, 2021, 05:41:07 PM

Title: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: knuckles on March 20, 2021, 05:41:07 PM
Well i may be jumping the gun here..
Any predictions on this years ice out?
I was thinking the first week of may..however i have the last week of April booked for vacation....hmmm.



Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: puckster_guy on March 21, 2021, 07:50:16 AM
 Looking like an early spring this year. I'll take an April date this year. April 25th...
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: knuckles on March 21, 2021, 08:03:17 AM
I like your thinking joe...i was planning on bringing the boat up there. Would be fantastic if i was able to boat in as well and get a head start on the season. If your up there that early i will be sure to stop in.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: knuckles on March 21, 2021, 08:59:11 AM
Just heard ice about 1ft thick. Shorelines dangerous and soft spots around pressure cracks etc. Sounds like crossing on a sled is just about done....perhaps an early spring is in the cards.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: michelle on March 21, 2021, 10:23:05 AM
Hmmm my guess is April 20th
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Campkipawa on March 21, 2021, 11:28:27 AM
I'm going to be very optimistic and say April.12th.

Was on the ice yesterday morning and although it was very solid it never did set up like normal years. Furthermore, we are in the midst of a 6 day warm stretch. This is the first March in about 10 years which was mostly spring like as opposed to the normal 90% winter / 10% spring.

Bring on Spring!!!!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: puckster_guy on March 21, 2021, 11:56:52 AM
Quote from: michelle on March 21, 2021, 10:23:05 AM
Hmmm my guess is April 20th
I like that thinking...
@knuckles I'm aiming for right after Easter for a week or so, back in Barrie for a week then camp til Novemeber. I gotta see your place.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Erin on March 22, 2021, 07:47:28 AM
I am going with April 18th ! Fingers crossed early ice out
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Captain Steve on March 22, 2021, 08:03:43 AM
I'm in with April 15th!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Greg on March 22, 2021, 08:27:15 AM
April 21 for me!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: limacharley on March 22, 2021, 08:51:37 AM
I crossed Hunters Lake on my sled on Friday and Saturday to check on the camp. Went over the pressure crack. It was open for about 6 feet. Everywhere else, the ice is still 12-16” thick.

I’m guessing mid to late April at least. Say.....April 19th.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Oarin on March 22, 2021, 09:04:12 AM
May 15th.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: RHYBAK on March 22, 2021, 09:33:06 AM
https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-80.09993069238558,46.34551619260424,-77.57239447252948,47.57900652489859&t=2021-03-21-T00%3A00%3A00Z

Still looks pretty solid
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: michelle on March 22, 2021, 03:17:37 PM
The earliest we ever got into camp in the spring was 2010 early April.  By the time we got on the Maniwaki and had driven a while, we were noticing all the snow on the back roads. Got to our camp road and we were only able to drive in a little way. We had to carry stuff in the rest of the way....then go back and forth for more supplies the rest of the weekend. It was either that, or drive home ....didn't feel like doing that after already sitting in the truck for over 4 hours. It turned out to be a great weekend and I believe the ice was out by the time we left. Sooooo lesson learned, I now ask the locals about the back roads before we head out...lol.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: T-Bone on March 22, 2021, 04:05:21 PM
May 1...
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: crunchie on March 22, 2021, 10:21:23 PM
April 28th for me.  Was watching the seagulls behavior around the govt dock today, just the way they were flying, it's a sign.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: RHYBAK on March 23, 2021, 07:36:13 AM
I'm going to say April 10
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Ozzy30 on March 23, 2021, 08:02:35 AM
For Kipawa big lake, further up north probably April 26th.  My Lake is just getting black along south shoreline.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: RHYBAK on March 23, 2021, 08:23:07 AM
To be honest, I hope it's later.
Don't want the fish to spawn earlier than normal and screw up their normal migration patterns.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: knuckles on March 23, 2021, 09:01:00 AM
I think i will say april 23rd.....since its the start of my vacation.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: limacharley on March 23, 2021, 11:29:02 AM
Quote from: crunchie on March 22, 2021, 10:21:23 PM
April 28th for me.  Was watching the seagulls behavior around the govt dock today, just the way they were flying, it's a sign.

They were looking for French fries.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: SgtCrabby on March 23, 2021, 11:55:55 PM
My usual prediction of May 6th.

Who's going to be the official date caller?  Usually it has been an outfitter. 
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Campkipawa on March 25, 2021, 07:43:46 AM
Today is day 6 of significant melt. Snow has taken a beating and I suspect the ice has as well. I don't think I would trust crossing the lake anymore, but the locals will know better. Still hopeful for an abnormally early ice out / snow gonzo.   :D
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: plowjock on March 26, 2021, 06:45:59 AM
 Took a drive around some of the lakes and rivers close to Ottawa.
I'd say the way the weather has been, my prediction is April 14,2021.
Everything is moving along pretty quickly here.
I know you're quite a bit further north, but that sun sure has been a pleasure to have hitting you.
Most snow around Ottawa is GONZO!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Rico on March 26, 2021, 01:09:29 PM
Quote from: limacharley on March 23, 2021, 11:29:02 AM
Quote from: crunchie on March 22, 2021, 10:21:23 PM
April 28th for me.  Was watching the seagulls behavior around the govt dock today, just the way they were flying, it's a sign.

They were looking for French fries.
;D
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Campkipawa on March 30, 2021, 08:05:15 AM
Judging by the modis imagery it appears lake Simcoe is mostly ice free and even a fair sized lake north of Simcoe. I feel good about my April.12th prediction, even though it would be historically early. Warm temps today and long range looks very promising starting this Saturday.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: RHYBAK on March 30, 2021, 08:59:51 AM
Lake Simcoe is ice free
The lake north, I believe is Lake Muskoka.
Lake joseph is looking darker and darker.
Nipissing is Still pretty white
See what todays warm weather does to those lakes


https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-83.12163498556856,43.93713163843253,-76.10419677450662,47.36178768206017&t=2021-03-29-T16%3A00%3A00Z
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Fort Wisers on March 30, 2021, 03:14:30 PM
I'll throw in April 16th......
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: reelpro on March 30, 2021, 09:18:54 PM
April 19
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: limacharley on March 31, 2021, 07:55:48 AM
Quote from: reelpro on March 30, 2021, 09:18:54 PM
April 19

I'm not splitting the prize with you should we be correct. Lol
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: crackers42 on March 31, 2021, 12:59:56 PM
Ice has never been off in April for as long as I can remember

You can almost set a watch on the week before opener maybe first week of may

May 7
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: reelpro on March 31, 2021, 06:14:04 PM
It’s been quite a few yrs since a real early ice out, earlyb90’s ,   1992 or 93 maybe that we swam from the boat on the May opener.

Not just jump in and out screaming, but floating mid lake to cool off fishing on a 30 degree opener day.

It’s been too long since we had some actual Hot weather on the opener.

Maybe 2021 will be the one.



Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: johnny walleye on April 01, 2021, 09:45:47 AM
APRIL 26
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: michelle on April 01, 2021, 10:21:06 AM
I believe the ice was off in 2010 in April....the only year I can remember
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 02, 2021, 01:09:30 AM
@wayne , would you mind calling the ice out again for us this year?

I won't have a prize this year unless someone wants to step forward. I just paid the expenses for this forum for this year. So I am a little short of cash right now.

Nancy
Admin
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 02, 2021, 01:26:43 AM
Here is a list of the dates used so far:

April
9, 10, 12, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 25, 26, 28,29
May

1, 3, 6, 7, 15

If anyone comes up with a prize, @reelpro and @johnny walleye , you will have to select another date as the dates you selected were already taken. Thanks
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: wayne on April 02, 2021, 07:36:59 AM
Quote from: Administrator on April 02, 2021, 01:26:43 AM
Here is a list of the dates used so far:

April
10, 12, 14, 15, 16, 18, 19, 20, 21, 25, 26, 28

May

1, 6, 7, 15

If anyone comes up with a prize, @reelpro and @johnny walleye , you will have to select another date as the dates you selected were already taken. Thanks
Morning Nancy. I will donate a cap and T shirt again to the lucky winner how ever I didn't anticipate the early ice out this year and my boat won't be ready till the 23rd of April. Looking at the long range forecast I think the ice will be gone before then.  If  I am wrong then sure I will be heading to the Lodge at the end of the month. Maybe Jody from Camp Kipawa could call it if the ice leaves before the 23 rd. Jody lives right there.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: hinorth on April 02, 2021, 08:18:28 AM
Saturday April 17 would be a nice day for the ice to be gone.  Not gone done here in Huntsville yet but I expect by the middle to end of next week it will be gone here on the bigger lakes.  They are looking pretty black although it is -8 here this morning.  Have a great Easter Weekend!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Gary S on April 02, 2021, 09:25:10 AM
  I'll take May 3rd just because I'm scheduled to donate blood that day, maybe I'll get a reward!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 02, 2021, 09:33:52 AM
@Campkipawa could you be our official to call the ice out this year per Wayne's recommendation?
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: reelpro on April 02, 2021, 09:35:40 AM
I will change my pick to April 9

Just looking at the ice right now - going fast

I’ll donate a “lucky lure”

Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Campkipawa on April 02, 2021, 09:41:54 AM
Quote from: Administrator on April 02, 2021, 09:33:52 AM
@Campkipawa could you be our official to call the ice out this year per Wayne's recommendation?

Good morning, unfortunately I am not the Camp Kipawa that Wayne is referring to (just a coincidence with my KFF handle). I am not local so I wouldn't be the best at calling the ice out. Happy Easter everyone!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 02, 2021, 09:45:35 AM
@puckster_guy Are you at camp now and able to call the ice out or are you in town?
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Chazz on April 02, 2021, 09:49:28 AM
April 22nd please
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 02, 2021, 10:00:06 AM
In order to be somewhat fair to those who have submitted their dates early, we will do a cutoff of April 10 midnight to submit your guesses. Thanks
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: laketrouter on April 03, 2021, 04:03:45 PM
april 23 for me

Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 04, 2021, 11:38:57 AM
Are there any locals who would be able to call the official ice out?
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Mattie on April 04, 2021, 05:24:50 PM
April 29 here
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: wayne on April 04, 2021, 06:34:48 PM
Hey Nancy, I sent a message to a friend who lives in Kipawa. They will let me know when the ice leaves the lake. Hope this is okay as an official ruling. Let me  know, Thanks.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 05, 2021, 09:24:41 AM
@wayne , that is great. Thanks so much.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Ozmo on April 06, 2021, 12:05:03 PM
I'll guess April 24th.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: limacharley on April 07, 2021, 10:37:00 AM
Quote from: puckster_guy on April 06, 2021, 02:21:36 PM
My internet has been down the last couple of days. I'm back on now. lake Maclaughlin is mostly free of ice I can boat to Mackenzie camps and probably into Grindstone. There's a bay that goes south from here with less current and it's still freeing up but clearing by the day. lake level is down large but filling daily about 2 inches a day. Hoping to be able to troll for lakers soon.

Lakers open April 23rd as far as I understand the regs.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Erin on April 07, 2021, 11:03:38 AM
Looks very promising for us to get back to camp at the end of April !
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: puckster_guy on April 09, 2021, 08:14:33 AM
FYI. The lake in front of my camp is now completely clear of ice.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: knuckles on April 10, 2021, 09:26:07 AM
Saw these shot posted today from friends who live across from the main launch in town....can"t verify yet if the entire lake is open.
(https://i.imgur.com/Jd8HjxK.jpg)
(https://i.imgur.com/hunLTKt.jpg)
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: knuckles on April 10, 2021, 02:13:25 PM
Ok our friends have boated from the town launch to our place at sunnyside...they said there were a few floaters etc but water flowing freely...i have 2 pics of our dock which i will post later when i get a chance...anyone pick today for ice out..lol?
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: reelpro on April 10, 2021, 06:24:37 PM
At camp this afternoon

Completely open no sign of ice anywhere

Ice out April 9
😁
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: reelpro on April 10, 2021, 06:32:33 PM
Kipawa outposts that rents houseboats
Is out in his float plane right now
He will know if there is any ice left anywhere

Don’t think so though Green Lake our from Kipawa is wide open no sign of ice anywhere

Lots of boats coming and going from Kipawa ramp

Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: wayne on April 10, 2021, 07:37:58 PM
Hey Guy's,  I have been in touch with several friends from Kipawa, some did boat to there camps today and Paul did fly over the lake to check things out. You can see the pictures on his face book page. Still large patches of ice floating around in certain area's, so I think it should be completely ice free  by tomorrow morning. So this year I think it's only fair that we have  2 winners of the ice out contest April 10th and 11th.  If everyone agrees with this, then send your name and mailing address in a pm or to info@kipawalodge.com and I will mail the hats and shirts. Here's  hoping for a somewhat normal season, enjoy your time on the lake everyone, Stay safe!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Administrator on April 10, 2021, 10:54:48 PM
Thanks so much @wayne for your efforts and donating the prizes. @RHYBAK, you selected April 10. Congratulations and no one selected April 11. Thanks to everyone who participated!
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: knuckles on April 11, 2021, 07:49:03 AM
Congrats to Rhybak!

What an early start to this years season.

Cheers to wayne for donating prizes...

Hope to see as many of you as possible this year.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: SgtCrabby on April 11, 2021, 11:01:44 PM
Thanks to Wayne for calling and prizes.
congrats to Rhybak. 
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: plowjock on April 12, 2021, 07:17:54 AM

First, Congrats to Rhybak on winning.
Wayne, thanks for making connections to inform Nancy on the date of OFFICIAL ice out and also for donation of prizes.
Now, let's get ready to wet some lines and catch some finned friends.
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: RHYBAK on April 12, 2021, 07:33:53 AM
Thank You everyone.
That was a shot in the dark as we have never seen such an early ice out in previous year.
Thank you Wayne.
Thank you Nancy.

Now Lets fish
Title: Re: 2021 ice out predictions info etc
Post by: Hodgey1 on April 12, 2021, 01:26:38 PM
Quote from: knuckles on April 11, 2021, 07:49:03 AM
Congrats to Rhybak!

What an early start to this years season.

Cheers to wayne for donating prizes...

Hear Hear! Awesome! I might have to sneak in.  ???