Ice Out Predictions

limacharley · April 29, 2025, 08:59:29 AM

May 9th to commemorate my sister's 68th birthday.

reelpro · April 29, 2025, 12:17:38 PM

Looks like Michelle's guess ?

April 30 - maybe May 1 for the last bits

Wind is blowing the ice off today

Fort Wisers · May 01, 2025, 06:11:08 AM

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1BhuxnELjk/

Seems April 30th is the winner.
Congrats @michelle we will be in touch early next week about a prize.....

michelle · May 01, 2025, 11:15:55 AM

Yay! That's pretty unexpected. The way the weather was going I thought would be much later! Hoping to start our holidays and drive in on May 9 and that we can drive into our camp road by then. Supposed to get more rain tonight, fingers crossed the Maniwaki and Bearn are passable by then. I sure hope so. It's been a long winter!

RHYBAK · May 05, 2025, 12:00:19 PM

https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-79.9830424469791,46.39235250581657,-77.86115297984578,47.39914485194077&t=2025-05-04-T14%3A45%3A42Z

I don't know who called it but I still see ice at the north end May 4th.

Fort Wisers · May 05, 2025, 01:12:39 PM

Quote from: RHYBAK on May 05, 2025, 12:00:19 PMhttps://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-79.9830424469791,46.39235250581657,-77.86115297984578,47.39914485194077&t=2025-05-04-T14%3A45%3A42Z

I don't know who called it but I still see ice at the north end May 4th.

Good point John, I was going by the post by reelpro and the facebook post, my bad.
Many apologies @michelle

michelle · May 05, 2025, 03:49:15 PM

All good, no worries!

Fort Wisers · May 06, 2025, 12:54:26 PM

Anyone want to make the official call?

reelpro · May 09, 2025, 10:00:03 AM

Quote from: RHYBAK on May 05, 2025, 12:00:19 PMhttps://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-79.9830424469791,46.39235250581657,-77.86115297984578,47.39914485194077&t=2025-05-04-T14%3A45%3A42Z

I don't know who called it but I still see ice at the north end May 4th.

The lake skimmed over at night a few times since April 30 - we have had a few -5 mornings and a skim of ice - melted off through the am each time.

But Ice was out on April 30, you could boat anywhere in the lake - except perhaps very Northern tip , not sure never went there.

I would still say ice out was April 30 this year

RHYBAK · May 13, 2025, 02:40:15 PM

Quote from: reelpro on May 09, 2025, 10:00:03 AM
Quote from: RHYBAK on May 05, 2025, 12:00:19 PMhttps://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-79.9830424469791,46.39235250581657,-77.86115297984578,47.39914485194077&t=2025-05-04-T14%3A45%3A42Z

I don't know who called it but I still see ice at the north end May 4th.

The lake skimmed over at night a few times since April 30 - we have had a few -5 mornings and a skim of ice - melted off through the am each time.

But Ice was out on April 30, you could boat anywhere in the lake - except perhaps very Northern tip , not sure never went there.

I would still say ice out was April 30 this year

Wow
you're persistent.
I looked on the earth satellite shot and there was still ice in the northern half of the late.
I'd say you were wrong

RHYBAK · May 13, 2025, 02:42:21 PM

https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-80.26358068045549,46.36031176053349,-77.58326271837295,47.632066793584116&t=2025-05-04-T14%3A45%3A42Z

Here is what May 2 looked like.
Too bad we can't get a shot of the two previous days

Fort Wisers · May 14, 2025, 05:43:14 AM

Not to add fuel to the fire but for the last two years we have relied on locals making the call. But i do know we've also used satellite images as a method when local advice wasn't avail.
So I guess the real question is what method are we using as the benchmark to make the call? Locals, satellite? Other?

I'll let you guys duke it out, I'm personally fine with what ever the majority thinks is best. I was just hoping to get a prize out to the lucky winner......

Anyone else care to chime in?
Or we just drop it entirely this year and agree there is no agreed upon official date for 2025 and thus no prize.
Just trying to keep things light and fun....

T-Bone · May 14, 2025, 10:16:35 AM

The intent of this thread is to provide forum fodder during the winter. Who cares when the ice "actually" went off? Really. It was sometime before today and after April 1st...there.

Opener is on Friday...why isn't anyone talking about that?

Fort Wisers · May 14, 2025, 12:26:07 PM

Quote from: T-Bone on May 14, 2025, 10:16:35 AMThe intent of this thread is to provide forum fodder during the winter. Who cares when the ice "actually" went off? Really. It was sometime before today and after April 1st...there.

Opener is on Friday...why isn't anyone talking about that?

Thank you, well said....

Fort Wisers · May 16, 2025, 06:19:58 AM

With all this out of the way, let's again congratulate @michelle for guessing the correct date lol.
We'll reach out to you early next week and arrange a prize.

Have a great season everyone...